NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/17)
Alex Christenson
D’Onta ForemanRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Bears vs. Raiders
Right now, D’Onta Foreman’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-139/+108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-139) after it opened @ 59.5 (-113).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast D’Onta Foreman to earn 13.9 carries in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
- When talking about run-blocking (and the significance it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL last year.
- With an excellent rate of 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (82nd percentile), D’Onta Foreman ranks among the leading pure rushers in the league since the start of last season.
- The Las Vegas Raiders defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 4.83 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons
- The Bears may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 120.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- D’Onta Foreman’s running efficiency has worsened this year, accumulating a mere 3.74 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.58 figure last year.
- The Raiders defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards
59
Rushing Yards
