Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jakobi Meyers from EV Insight

Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards

Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-115/-119).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-119) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).

Pros

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to accrue 7.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Jakobi Meyers has totaled far more air yards this year (88.0 per game) than he did last year (71.0 per game).
Jakobi Meyers’s 66.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 55.5.
Jakobi Meyers has put up quite a few more receiving yards per game (80.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).

Cons

The Patriots are an enormous 8.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
65
Receiving Yards