NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Patriots vs. Bears
Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-115/-119).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-119) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).
Pros
- The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to accrue 7.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
- Jakobi Meyers has totaled far more air yards this year (88.0 per game) than he did last year (71.0 per game).
- Jakobi Meyers’s 66.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 55.5.
- Jakobi Meyers has put up quite a few more receiving yards per game (80.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).
Cons
- The Patriots are an enormous 8.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.7 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Receiving Yards
65
Receiving Yards
