Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Colts vs. Browns
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-110).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
- The 2nd-most plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a massive 66.0 per game on average).
- In this week’s contest, Amari Cooper is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.3 targets.
- After accumulating 96.0 air yards per game last season, Amari Cooper has undergone big improvement this season, currently pacing 110.0 per game.
- Amari Cooper’s 60.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 86th percentile for WRs.
Cons
- The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a running game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Amari Cooper’s receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 64.9% to 61.4%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
