Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Zach WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Broncos vs. Jets
Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 179.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 179.5 (-110) after it opened @ 185.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Jets have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
- The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
- The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to attempt 31.5 passes in this week’s game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
- The New York Jets offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
- Zach Wilson has been among the worst passers in football since the start of last season, averaging 181.0 yards per game while ranking in the 24th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
170
Passing Yards
170
Passing Yards
