Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Emari Demercado from EV Insight

Emari DemercadoRushing Yards

Right now, Emari Demercado’s rushing yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 41.5 (-110) after it opened @ 37.5 (-110).

Pros

The projections expect the Cardinals offensive approach to skew 5.5% more towards the ground game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.
At the present time, the 3rd-most run-heavy team in football (44.2% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.
The leading projections forecast Emari Demercado to be much more involved in his team’s running game in this contest (36.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.2% in games he has played).

Cons

The Cardinals will be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game’s spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
As it relates to blocking for rushers (and the ramifications it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Cardinals ranks as the 6th-worst in football last year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
43
Rushing Yards