College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
Emari DemercadoRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Rams vs. Cardinals
Right now, Emari Demercado’s rushing yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 41.5 (-110) after it opened @ 37.5 (-110).
Pros
- The projections expect the Cardinals offensive approach to skew 5.5% more towards the ground game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.
- At the present time, the 3rd-most run-heavy team in football (44.2% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.
- The leading projections forecast Emari Demercado to be much more involved in his team’s running game in this contest (36.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.2% in games he has played).
Cons
- The Cardinals will be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- This game’s spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
- Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
- The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
- As it relates to blocking for rushers (and the ramifications it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Cardinals ranks as the 6th-worst in football last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
43
Rushing Yards
43
Rushing Yards
