Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight

Davante AdamsReceiving Yards

Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 80.5 (-110) after it opened @ 75.5 (-110).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
This week, Davante Adams is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.8 targets.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
The Packers pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 9.17 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.

Cons

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have only 123.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
The Raiders have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 51.8 plays per game.
This year, the daunting Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a meager 4.0 YAC.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Green Bay’s collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
107
Receiving Yards