WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Christian WatsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Packers vs. Lions
Right now, Christian Watson’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 35.5 (-115) after it opened @ 37.5 (-118).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
- The leading projections forecast Christian Watson to accrue 6.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- Christian Watson has accrued a whopping 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Packers have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.0 plays per game.
- Christian Watson has been among the weakest WRs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
57
Receiving Yards
57
Receiving Yards
