WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Ryan TannehillPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Colts vs. Titans
Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 223.5 yards (-110/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 223.5 (-110) after it opened @ 217.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Titans are a 4-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game.
- Ryan Tannehill’s throwing efficiency has gotten a boost this season, totaling 8.29 yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.17 figure last season.
- The Indianapolis Colts safeties rank as the 5th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
- The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 31.1 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
213
Passing Yards
213
Passing Yards
