Week 3 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Isiah Pacheco from EV Insight

Isiah PachecoRushing Yards

Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Chiefs are a massive 12.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs offense as the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Isiah Pacheco to accrue 12.3 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among running backs.
Isiah Pacheco’s rushing effectiveness (4.91 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (78th percentile among RBs).
Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-most yards in football (154 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 10th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 39.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Chicago Bears linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Rushing Yards