Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jerry JeudyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Dolphins vs. Broncos
Right now, Jerry Jeudy’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-115/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-115) after it opened @ 49.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Broncos are a 6-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.
- THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to total 6.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
- Jerry Jeudy has been a key part of his team’s passing attack, earning a Target Share of 24.1% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
- Jerry Jeudy has been among the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 60.0 yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Miami Dolphins pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 7.43 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.
- The Miami Dolphins safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
51
Receiving Yards
51
Receiving Yards
