Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Russell WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Dolphins vs. Broncos
Right now, Russell Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 232.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 232.5 (-110) after it opened @ 231.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Broncos are a 6-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.
- Russell Wilson’s passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 59.3% to 67.2%.
- Opposing QBs have passed for the 6th-most yards in the league (237.0 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Miami Dolphins defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.46 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
- The Miami Dolphins safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
220
Passing Yards
220
Passing Yards
