Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Ravens vs. Dolphins
Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 67.8 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accumulate 7.4 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.
- Mark Andrews has been a key part of his team’s passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 26.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 100th percentile among TEs.
- Mark Andrews has notched a colossal 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among tight ends.
- The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Cons
- The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 117.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Mark Andrews’s ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.1% to 57.6%.
- Mark Andrews’s pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, totaling a measly 6.06 yards-per-target vs a 9.34 rate last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
