Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Elijah MooreReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Browns vs. Jets
Right now, Elijah Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-125/-109).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 52.5 (-125) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Jets are a 6-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to accrue 7.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among WRs.
- Elijah Moore has totaled a whopping 81.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among WRs.
- Elijah Moore’s 47.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 76th percentile for wideouts.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Jets have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
- The New York Jets O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
- Elijah Moore has been among the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a lowly 7.40 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 19th percentile among wideouts
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
