Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Joe BurrowPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Cowboys vs. Bengals
Right now, Joe Burrow’s passing yards prop is set at 267.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 267.5 (-114) after it opened @ 264.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.2% pass rate.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
- The Dallas Cowboys defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.22 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.
Cons
- The Bengals are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 33.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
- The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest clip in the NFL versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (63.7%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
262
Passing Yards
262
Passing Yards
