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Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Joe Burrow from EV Insight

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Joe Burrow

Joe BurrowPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 2

Cowboys vs. Bengals

Right now, Joe Burrow’s passing yards prop is set at 267.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 267.5 (-114) after it opened @ 264.5 (-115).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.2% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.22 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.
Cons

  • The Bengals are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 33.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest clip in the NFL versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (63.7%).

Projection
THE BLITZ
262
Passing Yards

Previous Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Najee Harris from EV Insight Next Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for David Montgomery from EV Insight