Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Geno SmithPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Lions vs. Seahawks
Right now, Geno Smith’s passing yards prop is set at 262.5 yards (+105/-135).
The public has bet the OVER up to 262.5 (+105) after it opened @ 247.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.
- Geno Smith has been among the most accurate passers in the league since the start of last season with an impressive 69.0% Completion%, grading out in the 100th percentile.
Cons
- The Seattle Seahawks have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging just 55.9 plays per game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
298
Passing Yards
298
Passing Yards
