NFL Circa Millions Picks for Week 3
Michael Cohen
Evan EngramReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Jaguars vs. Chiefs
Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
- Evan Engram has been among the best pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 43.0 yards per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
Cons
- The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.45 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards
41
Receiving Yards
