Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Zamir White from EV Insight

Zamir WhiteRushing Yards

Right now, Zamir White’s rushing yards prop is set at 79.5 yards (+106/-137).

The public has bet the OVER up to 79.5 (+106) after it opened @ 71.5 (-114).

Pros

Right now, the 7th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (42.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Raiders.
In this week’s game, Zamir White is expected by the projections to rank in the 96th percentile among RBs with 18.8 rush attempts.
The predictive model expects Zamir White to be a more important option in his team’s rushing attack in this game (71.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (15.8% in games he has played).
Zamir White has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (7.0).
This year, the shaky Colts run defense has been torched for a whopping 135.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 5th-most in the league.

Cons

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
With regard to a defense’s influence on pace, at 28.57 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders as the 4th-slowest in the league (context-neutralized) right now.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards