Week 17 Player Props: Passing Yards for Andy Dalton from EV Insight

Andy DaltonPassing Yards

Right now, Andy Dalton’s passing yards prop is set at 197.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 197.5 (-110) after it opened @ 198.5 (-115).

Pros

The Saints are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Andy Dalton’s passing effectiveness has been refined this year, notching 7.41 yards-per-target vs a mere 6.19 mark last year.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties profile as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line has allowed their QB 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.5% pass rate.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.5 plays per game.
Andy Dalton has attempted a measly 29.0 passes per game this year, ranking in the 24th percentile among quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 216.0 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
205
Passing Yards