Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner

James ConnerRushing Yards

Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 8th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast James Conner to total 13.9 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Out of all RBs, James Conner grades out in the 90th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 55.2% of the workload in his offense’s running game.
James Conner’s 73.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a material gain in his rushing prowess over last year’s 61.0 mark.
James Conner’s rushing efficiency has gotten better this year, totaling 5.12 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 4.33 mark last year.

Cons

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projections to run only 63.3 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals grades out as the 6th-worst in the league last year.
This year, the formidable Bears run defense has conceded a mere 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the best in the league.
The Chicago Bears linebackers profile as the 5th-best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards