Bettings
article-picture
article-picture
NFL
Bets

Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Derrick Henry from EV Insight

Share
Contents
Close
Derrick Henry

Derrick HenryRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 16

Titans vs. Seahawks

Right now, Derrick Henry’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-143/+110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (+110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans as the 10th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 43.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Derrick Henry to earn 15.1 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
  • This year, the weak Seahawks run defense has conceded a monstrous 131.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 5th-worst in football.
  • As it relates to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Seattle’s group of safeties has been very bad this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Cons

  • This week’s spread indicates a passing game script for the Titans, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Derrick Henry to be a less important option in his team’s running game in this contest (56.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (66.1% in games he has played).
  • Derrick Henry has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (61.0) this year than he did last year (91.0).

Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cade Otton from EV Insight Next Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Conklin from EV Insight
  • Save 15% With Code: HOLIDAYEDGE

  • New Merch: 10% OFF with code HOLIDAYSALE10