Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 63.5 (-110) after it opened @ 60.5 (-110).

Pros

This week’s spread indicates a passing game script for the Titans, who are -3-point underdogs.
In this week’s contest, DeAndre Hopkins is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.9 targets.
After averaging 111.0 air yards per game last year, DeAndre Hopkins has been rising this year, currently averaging 130.0 per game.
DeAndre Hopkins ranks in the 97th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) with a colossal 75.2 mark this year.

Cons

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 56.1% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
The Tennessee offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
DeAndre Hopkins’s 64.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates a remarkable decline in his receiving ability over last year’s 82.0 figure.

Projection

THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards