Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Ryan Tannehill from EV Insight

Ryan TannehillPassing Yards

Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 214.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 214.5 (-110) after it opened @ 205.5 (-110).

Pros

This week’s spread indicates a passing game script for the Titans, who are -3-point underdogs.
This year, the shaky Seahawks defense has yielded a massive 251.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 8th-most in the league.

Cons

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 56.1% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
The projections expect Ryan Tannehill to attempt 31.3 passes in this week’s contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
The Tennessee offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
215
Passing Yards