Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Andre Swift from EV Insight

D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards

Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 31.5 (-115) after it opened @ 35.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects D’Andre Swift to be a more integral piece of his offense’s run game this week (40.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.6% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
D’Andre Swift’s ground efficiency has gotten a boost this year, totaling 5.67 yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.76 rate last year.
The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Cons

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
47
Rushing Yards