Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Cam Akers from EV Insight

Cam AkersRushing Yards

Right now, Cam Akers’s rushing yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-103/-133).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 44.5 (-133) after it opened @ 44.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to garner 13.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Cam Akers has earned 47.8% of his team’s carries this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Cons

The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup quarterback John Wolford in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
The Rams rank as the 9th-least run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 38.1% run rate.
Cam Akers’s ground efficiency (3.31 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (2nd percentile among RBs).
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards