Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 27.5 (-110) after it opened @ 37.5 (-114).

Pros

The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup quarterback John Wolford in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
The Rams rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 61.9% pass rate.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 10th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.
Tyler Higbee has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Tyler Higbee’s possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 74.6% to 62.3%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards