Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Bengals vs. Browns
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (+106/-145).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-145) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
- Amari Cooper has posted far more air yards this season (109.0 per game) than he did last season (85.0 per game).
- The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
- Amari Cooper has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 73.0 yards per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to be much less involved in his team’s passing offense this week (20.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (27.4% in games he has played).
- Amari Cooper’s possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.9% to 63.9%.
- The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.7%) versus wide receivers this year (64.7%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
