Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (+106/-145).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-145) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
Amari Cooper has posted far more air yards this season (109.0 per game) than he did last season (85.0 per game).
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Amari Cooper has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 73.0 yards per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to be much less involved in his team’s passing offense this week (20.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (27.4% in games he has played).
Amari Cooper’s possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.9% to 63.9%.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.7%) versus wide receivers this year (64.7%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards