Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Ryan Tannehill from EV Insight

Ryan TannehillPassing Yards

Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 197.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 197.5 (-110) after it opened @ 199.5 (-114).

Pros

Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Ryan Tannehill has been among the most accurate quarterbacks in football this year with an impressive 66.7% Completion%, ranking in the 79th percentile.
Ryan Tannehill has been among the best per-play quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a terrific 8.01 yards-per-target while ranking in the 88th percentile.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 9th-most yards in football (257.0 per game) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in football.

Cons

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 31.0 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.

Projection

THE BLITZ
235
Passing Yards