NFL

Bets

November 30, 2023

Week 13 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jerome Ford from EV Insight

FTN Staff

Jerome FordRushing Yards

Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 43.1% run rate.
The leading projections forecast the Browns to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 66.5 per game on average).
Jerome Ford has been much more involved in his team’s running game this season (38.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (1.9%).
With an exceptional tally of 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (77th percentile), Jerome Ford places as one of the leading pure runners in football this year.

Cons

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Los Angeles defensive tackles project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Rushing Yards