Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jerome FordRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Rams vs. Browns
Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 43.1% run rate.
- The leading projections forecast the Browns to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 66.5 per game on average).
- Jerome Ford has been much more involved in his team’s running game this season (38.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (1.9%).
- With an exceptional tally of 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (77th percentile), Jerome Ford places as one of the leading pure runners in football this year.
Cons
- At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
- The Los Angeles defensive tackles project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Rushing Yards
58
Rushing Yards
