Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Devin SingletaryRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Texans vs. Broncos
Right now, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 61.5 (-114).
Pros
- This game’s line implies a rushing game script for the Texans, who are favored by 3 points.
- The Houston Texans have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.0 plays per game.
- Out of all RBs, Devin Singletary grades out in the 76th percentile for carries this year, comprising 41.2% of the workload in his team’s ground game.
- The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (161 per game) vs. the Broncos defense this year.
- When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, Denver’s collection of DTs has been awful this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Texans to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- When talking about blocking for rushers (and the influence it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards
53
Rushing Yards
