Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Puka Nacua from EV Insight

Puka NacuaReceiving Yards

Right now, Puka Nacua’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.2 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
The projections expect Puka Nacua to notch 9.6 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.
With a top-tier 31.6% Target Rate (99th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua has been among the WRs with the highest volume in football.
With an excellent 85.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (96th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua rates as one of the best pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

Cons

This game’s spread suggests a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the strong Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a measly 113.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
The Browns pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (54.3%) versus wideouts this year (54.3%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards