Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jayden Reed from EV Insight

Jayden ReedReceiving Yards

Right now, Jayden Reed’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

This game’s spread implies a passing game script for the Packers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 60.6% of their chances: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
With an exceptional 9.2 adjusted yards per target (78th percentile) this year, Jayden Reed places as one of the top WRs in the game in football.
The Chiefs safeties rank as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Packers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.3 per game) this year.
This year, the formidable Chiefs defense has given up a feeble 62.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 7th-best rate in football.
The Chiefs pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. WRs this year, conceding 7.57 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
49
Receiving Yards