Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Devin Duvernay from EV Insight

Devin DuvernayReceiving Yards

Right now, Devin Duvernay’s receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (+100/-137).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 26.5 (-137) after it opened @ 26.5 (-115).

Pros

Devin Duvernay has run fewer routes this season (73.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (54.5%).
Devin Duvernay has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Devin Duvernay has totaled many more receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).
Devin Duvernay has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, catching a stellar 80.0% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

Cons

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.36 seconds per snap.
The Denver Broncos defense has given up the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 127.0) versus wideouts this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.4%) versus WRs this year (62.4%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards