Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Devin DuvernayReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Ravens vs. Broncos
Right now, Devin Duvernay’s receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (+100/-137).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 26.5 (-137) after it opened @ 26.5 (-115).
Pros
- Devin Duvernay has run fewer routes this season (73.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (54.5%).
- Devin Duvernay has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
- The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
- Devin Duvernay has totaled many more receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).
- Devin Duvernay has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, catching a stellar 80.0% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.36 seconds per snap.
- The Denver Broncos defense has given up the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 127.0) versus wideouts this year.
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.4%) versus WRs this year (62.4%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards
30
Receiving Yards
