Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Daniel BellingerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Giants vs. Commanders
Right now, Daniel Bellinger’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (+100/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 19.5 (+100) after it opened @ 16.5 (-110).
Pros
- The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.
- The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
- The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Washington Commanders defense has given up the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 35.0) versus TEs this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards
22
Receiving Yards
