Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cameron Brate from EV Insight

Cameron BrateReceiving Yards

Right now, Cameron Brate’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 65.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.9 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Cons

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: least in football.
The New Orleans Saints defense has allowed the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 28.0) vs. tight ends this year.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in the NFL (54.3%) to TEs this year (54.3%).
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has shown good efficiency against tight ends this year, surrendering 4.67 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
23
Receiving Yards