WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Mike WhitePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Vikings vs. Jets
Right now, Mike White’s passing yards prop is set at 260.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 260.5 (-127) after it opened @ 240.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New York Jets will be rolling with backup quarterback Mike White in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Jets are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 9th-most in football.
- Mike White has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season with a terrific 70.0% Completion%, checking in at the 93rd percentile.
Cons
- The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on a mere 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The New York Jets have used play action on a measly 23.1% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
Projection
THE BLITZ
281
Passing Yards
281
Passing Yards
