Week 13 Player Props: Passing Yards for Justin Herbert from EV Insight

Justin HerbertPassing Yards

Right now, Justin Herbert’s passing yards prop is set at 280.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 280.5 (-120) after it opened @ 288.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 68.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 41.7 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 4th-most yards in the NFL (275.0 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.

Cons

Justin Herbert has been among the least effective passers in football this year, averaging a measly 6.49 yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 18th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
298
Passing Yards