Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Bryce YoungPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Buccaneers vs. Panthers
Right now, Bryce Young’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
- The Panthers are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 58.7% of their downs: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
- The Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 62.4 plays per game.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.
Cons
- Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Panthers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Panthers ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
- With a weak 60.9% Adjusted Completion% (10th percentile) this year, Bryce Young has been as one of the worst precision passers in the league.
- With a bad 5.37 adjusted yards-per-target (3rd percentile) this year, Bryce Young ranks as one of the least effective quarterbacks in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
215
Passing Yards
215
Passing Yards
