Week 13 Player Props: Passing Yards for Bryce Young from EV Insight

Bryce YoungPassing Yards

Right now, Bryce Young’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
The Panthers are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 58.7% of their downs: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 62.4 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Panthers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Panthers ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
With a weak 60.9% Adjusted Completion% (10th percentile) this year, Bryce Young has been as one of the worst precision passers in the league.
With a bad 5.37 adjusted yards-per-target (3rd percentile) this year, Bryce Young ranks as one of the least effective quarterbacks in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
215
Passing Yards