Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Josh Jacobs from EV Insight

Josh JacobsRushing Yards

Right now, Josh Jacobs’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (+112/-143).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (+112) after it opened @ 64.5 (-115).

Pros

At the present time, the 2nd-most run-focused team in the league (44.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Raiders.
In this game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 20.9 carries.
Out of all RBs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 100th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 81.4% of the workload in his offense’s running game.
The Raiders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL last year in run support.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 4.52 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Cons

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a heavy -9.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
The projections expect the Raiders to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (only 53.7 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Josh Jacobs’s 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a significant decrease in his rushing talent over last season’s 100.0 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
88
Rushing Yards