Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Michael MayerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Raiders vs. Chiefs
Right now, Michael Mayer’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-113/-113).
Pros
- An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a heavy -9.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- With a remarkable 63.4% Snap% (76th percentile) this year, Michael Mayer stands among the RBs with the most usage in the league.
- Our trusted projections expect Michael Mayer to garner 4.2 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.
- With a fantastic 8.0 adjusted yards per target (75th percentile) this year, Michael Mayer places among the top pass-catching TEs in the NFL.
Cons
- The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.7% pass rate.
- The projections expect the Raiders to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (only 53.7 per game on average).
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
- This year, the tough Chiefs defense has conceded a meager 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
29
Receiving Yards
29
Receiving Yards
