Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Logan Thomas from EV Insight

Logan ThomasReceiving Yards

Right now, Logan Thomas’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-105) after it opened @ 35.5 (-115).

Pros

The projections expect the Washington Commanders offensive gameplan to skew 13.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a giant -13.5-point underdog in this game.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Commanders to pass on 70.3% of their downs: the highest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Logan Thomas has accrued substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (41.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.34 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Dallas Cowboys, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.1 per game) this year.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards