Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Ja'Marr Chase from EV Insight

Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards

Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 62.5 (-110) after it opened @ 68.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cincinnati Bengals may lean on the pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.
The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 67.1% pass rate.
Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 97.1% of his offense’s passing plays this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
In this contest, Ja’Marr Chase is expected by the projection model to finish in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.2 targets.
The Steelers defense has surrendered the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (182.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

Cons

At the present time, the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
Ja’Marr Chase’s 83.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year signifies a material decline in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 93.0 mark.
Ja’Marr Chase’s talent in picking up extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling a mere 5.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.64 rate last season.
This year, the imposing Steelers defense has allowed a paltry 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 9th-lowest rate in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
65
Receiving Yards