Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Bengals vs. Steelers
Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 62.5 (-110) after it opened @ 68.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cincinnati Bengals may lean on the pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.
- The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 67.1% pass rate.
- Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 97.1% of his offense’s passing plays this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
- In this contest, Ja’Marr Chase is expected by the projection model to finish in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.2 targets.
- The Steelers defense has surrendered the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (182.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
Cons
- At the present time, the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.
- When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
- Ja’Marr Chase’s 83.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year signifies a material decline in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 93.0 mark.
- Ja’Marr Chase’s talent in picking up extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling a mere 5.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.64 rate last season.
- This year, the imposing Steelers defense has allowed a paltry 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 9th-lowest rate in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Receiving Yards
65
Receiving Yards
