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Chris Meaney
Gerald EverettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Chargers vs. Ravens
Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 22.5 (-110) after it opened @ 24.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 63.7% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.6 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
- Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Chargers offensive approach to skew 2.3% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. TEs this year, giving up 5.58 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
- This year, the daunting Ravens pass defense has allowed the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a measly 3.4 YAC.
- The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards
24
Receiving Yards
