Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 22.5 (-110) after it opened @ 24.5 (-115).

Pros

The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 63.7% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.6 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Chargers offensive approach to skew 2.3% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. TEs this year, giving up 5.58 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
This year, the daunting Ravens pass defense has allowed the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a measly 3.4 YAC.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards