Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett from EV Insight

Kenny PickettPassing Yards

Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 202.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 202.5 (-114) after it opened @ 190.5 (-114).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.
This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a whopping 261.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-worst in football.
This year, the anemic Bengals defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a monstrous 8.53 yards.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati’s collection of safeties has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

Cons

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 54.6% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
In this week’s contest, Kenny Pickett is predicted by the predictive model to have the 9th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.6.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
Kenny Pickett has passed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (170.0) this year than he did last year (200.0).
Kenny Pickett’s 60.7% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy decrease in his throwing accuracy over last season’s 64.9% figure.

Projection

THE BLITZ
195
Passing Yards