2024 FTN NFL Power Rankings Through Week 15: Who Takes Over the Top Spot?
Daniel Kelley
Aaron JonesRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Packers vs. Titans
Right now, Aaron Jones’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to earn 14.0 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
- Aaron Jones has received 52.7% of his team’s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
- The Green Bay Packers offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in run blocking.
- Aaron Jones has run for many more yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-least yards in the league (just 82 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
- The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
- The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards
63
Rushing Yards
