Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Wan'Dale Robinson from EV Insight

Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 21.5 (-115) after it opened @ 22.5 (-115).

Pros

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are giant underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach.
The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
Wan’Dale Robinson’s 82.5% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a meaningful growth in his receiving prowess over last season’s 77.9% rate.

Cons

The model projects the New York Giants as the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Wan’Dale Robinson has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (17.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, Wan’Dale Robinson has been featured much less in his team’s air attack.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.
Wan’Dale Robinson has accumulated quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards