Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cooper KuppReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Rams vs. Seahawks
Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 80.5 (-105) after it opened @ 85.5 (-115).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Rams to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Rams this year (a staggering 60.0 per game on average).
- The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.
- With an impressive 97.3% Route% (99th percentile) this year, Cooper Kupp rates among the WRs with the highest volume in football.
- The leading projections forecast Cooper Kupp to earn 10.1 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- In regards to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Rams grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
- Cooper Kupp’s 68.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a significant regression in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 84.0 rate.
- Cooper Kupp’s 53.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last year’s 76.4% figure.
- Cooper Kupp’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this season, accumulating a measly 4.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.91 rate last season.
- The Seahawks pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against wideouts this year, surrendering 7.69 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards
79
Receiving Yards
