Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cooper Kupp from EV Insight

Cooper KuppReceiving Yards

Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-125/-105).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 80.5 (-105) after it opened @ 85.5 (-115).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Rams this year (a staggering 60.0 per game on average).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.
With an impressive 97.3% Route% (99th percentile) this year, Cooper Kupp rates among the WRs with the highest volume in football.
The leading projections forecast Cooper Kupp to earn 10.1 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

Cons

In regards to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Rams grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
Cooper Kupp’s 68.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a significant regression in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 84.0 rate.
Cooper Kupp’s 53.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last year’s 76.4% figure.
Cooper Kupp’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this season, accumulating a measly 4.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.91 rate last season.
The Seahawks pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against wideouts this year, surrendering 7.69 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards