Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight

CeeDee LambReceiving Yards

Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 82.5 yards (-140/+110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 82.5 (-140) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).

Pros

The model projects the Cowboys offensive gameplan to skew 6.4% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to run the 7th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
This week, CeeDee Lamb is forecasted by the projections to slot into the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.9 targets.
CeeDee Lamb has put up many more adjusted receiving yards per game (110.0) this season than he did last season (82.0).

Cons

With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s game, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 55.0% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Panthers, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.
The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 121.0) to wide receivers this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
97
Receiving Yards