Pros
- The model projects the Cowboys offensive gameplan to skew 6.4% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
- The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to run the 7th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Dallas Cowboys have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
- Dak Prescott has passed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (276.0) this year than he did last year (241.0).
- Dak Prescott’s 70.6% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies an impressive boost in his throwing precision over last year’s 65.4% mark.
Cons
- With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s game, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 55.0% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Panthers, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.
- Opposing teams have passed for the 3rd-fewest yards in football (just 185.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
264
Passing Yards